Once 'fragile' India gets thumbs up from foreign investors
When Fed taper fears
jolted emerging markets in 2013,India was one of the worst hit and was forced
to raise interest rates to underpin its tumbling markets. Fast forward to this
year, and history has been turned on its head. Not only is the US central
bank raising rates, but India is widely expected next week to be the
first country in Asia to cut policy rates this year.
being concerned at India's falling policy rate
premium over the United States, foreign investors are giving the country's
markets the thumbs up.The rupee is rallying and the country's bonds are in
demand,offering some of the best inflation-adjusted returns in Asia. Inflation,
long a thorn in the economy, is at its lowest in five years, economic growth is
picking up and the current account deficit is a fraction of its old self.
Prime Minister Narendra
Modi unveiled a national goods and services tax on July 1, India's
biggest tax reform since independence in 1947, raising confidence among
investors that other measures to boost the economy would follow.
"The structural
story for India remains pretty strong," said David Cornell, chief
investment officer of London-based Ocean Dial Asset Management, which argues
India and other emerging markets will outperform over the next 12 months.

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